Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 9.904796e-05 0.000115 0.000131 0.000150 0.000170 0.000191 0.000215
2025-05-11 7.524992e-05 0.000098 0.000123 0.000153 0.000187 0.000225 0.000269
2025-05-18 5.988179e-05 0.000085 0.000115 0.000152 0.000197 0.000246 0.000307
2025-05-25 4.909192e-05 0.000076 0.000110 0.000153 0.000205 0.000266 0.000341
2025-06-01 4.423588e-05 0.000073 0.000111 0.000161 0.000223 0.000296 0.000387
2025-06-08 3.817888e-05 0.000068 0.000109 0.000163 0.000233 0.000317 0.000422
2025-06-15 3.384594e-05 0.000065 0.000108 0.000167 0.000245 0.000339 0.000460
2025-06-22 2.927914e-05 0.000060 0.000105 0.000169 0.000253 0.000357 0.000492
2025-06-29 2.352912e-05 0.000053 0.000098 0.000164 0.000253 0.000364 0.000510
2025-07-06 1.828289e-05 0.000046 0.000090 0.000157 0.000250 0.000367 0.000522
2025-07-13 1.498999e-05 0.000042 0.000086 0.000155 0.000252 0.000377 0.000544
2025-07-20 1.214840e-05 0.000038 0.000082 0.000153 0.000254 0.000386 0.000564
2025-07-27 9.407587e-06 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000255 0.000394 0.000583
2025-08-03 8.068760e-06 0.000032 0.000077 0.000152 0.000265 0.000414 0.000618
2025-08-10 6.463496e-06 0.000029 0.000074 0.000152 0.000269 0.000427 0.000644
2025-08-17 5.189454e-06 0.000027 0.000072 0.000152 0.000275 0.000441 0.000672
2025-08-24 4.938815e-06 0.000027 0.000075 0.000160 0.000291 0.000470 0.000720
2025-08-31 4.158277e-06 0.000026 0.000074 0.000163 0.000300 0.000489 0.000753
2025-09-07 3.639727e-06 0.000025 0.000075 0.000167 0.000312 0.000511 0.000792
2025-09-14 2.965927e-06 0.000024 0.000074 0.000169 0.000319 0.000528 0.000823
2025-09-21 1.995802e-06 0.000021 0.000069 0.000164 0.000316 0.000530 0.000836
2025-09-28 1.186161e-06 0.000017 0.000063 0.000157 0.000310 0.000529 0.000842
2025-10-05 7.751625e-07 0.000016 0.000061 0.000155 0.000312 0.000537 0.000862